Trivalry? More like a Quadvalry.

Maybe I’m the only one, but I was surprised to see the most recent cover of Tennis Magazine. I figured after the Grand Slam season and the drastic shift of power over the last few months, Andy Murray’s face would be staring back at me when I opened my mailbox. I assumed there would be a cliché headline like, “Great Scot, He Finally Did It!”, but all I saw were the usual suspects and their trademark expressions: Nadal’s intense scowl that could turn any competitor’s blood cold, Federer and his nice-guy smile who you’d trust to watch your baby, and Djokovic’s cocky smirk, an expression of someone who you wouldn’t want to leave alone with your girlfriend. When I read the featured article, there wasn’t one mention of the guy who just won two of the five biggest tennis events of 2012–the gold medal at the Olympics and the US Open–both tournaments won the previous year by “Trivalry” members. Not to mention that it was his first Grand Slam, and the first for Britain since the 1930s.

Yes, I know that Murray doesn’t fully meet every requirement to a tee (consistency, staying healthy, persistence, and resilience) set by the writers of Tennis Magazine to be considered part of the rivalries, but he certainly has strong points in all four categories. There’s no argument that he’s yet to prove his consistency on the grand stage, but he definitely has been consistent at nipping at the heels of the top three for years now. He reached the finals at the US Open in 2008, the Australian Open in 2010 and 2011, and this year’s Wimbledon. He also briefly attained the number two ranking in 2009, and has won several smaller tournaments along the way, all the while collecting wins against the top players. He has stayed relatively healthy with a few bumps and bruises along the way, which has drawn some criticism, but nothing long-term that’s kept him out of competition for any prolonged period of time. When it comes persistence and resilience, he certainly has had some large obstacles in the shape of a Spaniard, a Serb, and a Swiss standing in his way, but he has continued to get up after each fall to fight on. I think Jim McLennan, editor of TennisOne, said it well about Murray’s game with, “I believe Murray is the smartest player on the tour, who plays with the absolute best awareness of offensive, defensive, and neutralizing tactics. He is not as dangerous as Nadal, he is not as gifted as Federer, but he beats these guys at their own game by totally knowing the court.” 

Since the US Open, Andy Murray had a small fumble when he lost to Canada’s Milos Raonic in the semi-finals of the Japan Open. But as Murray stated after the match, “There was always going to be a bit of residue from the last few months.” He bounced right back to beat Federer this past weekend in the semi-finals of the Shanghai Open, but then lost to Djokovic in the finals even though Murray had five match points against him.

I can’t help thinking that the absence of Rafael Nadal has cast a shadow on Murray’s most recent breakthrough. Even though he beat Federer for the gold medal (his current head-to-head against Federer is 10-8) and Djokovic for his first Grand Slam title at the US Open (his current head-to-head against Djokovic is 7-9), I have a feeling that there are those out there thinking that that may not have happened if Nadal was there playing at his best. Maybe that’s true, after all, his record against Nadal is 5-13, only winning two of those matches in majors (2008 US Open and the 2010 Australian Open). Only Nadal’s much-anticipated return will put that debate to rest.

Nadal, the most talked about person in tennis right now, is speculated to return for the season-ending Barclays ATP Men’s Finals at the O2 Arena in East London in early November. And if not there, Nadal will most likely be a part of Alex Corretja’s Spanish squad to defend their Davis Cup crown against the Czech Republic later that month. Should he “rush” his recovery to come back before the season ends? I certainly think he’ll need some matches under his belt before heading to Melbourne, but if it will hinder his 2013 season, then he should rest and wait until the new year. As Nadal said about his return happening before the end of 2012, “Impossible no, but difficult, yes.” No doubt, his return will make the men’s tour feel more complete, and give Andy Murray a chance to prove he’s up there with all of the best.

It may sound like I’m Andy Murray’s number one fan. I admit I wasn’t in the recent past, but maybe it was the soft touch in me that did a complete 180 after hearing his Wimbledon speech, and especially his current results the last few months. I just think it’s extremely exciting for men’s tennis that four different players have won each of the four Grand Slams this past year, which hasn’t happened since 2003. The “quadvalry” will make the 2013 season a must-see, which in general will help the growth of tennis. As Federer said about Murray after winning his seventh Wimbledon title, “His (Murray’s) next nine months are going to be extremely interesting to follow.” I certainly agree with that.

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2012 US Open Preview

I love the US Open for a plethora of reasons, ranging from all the exciting tennis action to the Heineken Red Star Cafe. However, what I love most is that despite a few big tournaments in the fall, this really feels like the Grand Finale of the tennis year. There are lots of loose ends out there, and lots of players will be looking to tie them up during the two weeks in New York City. Let’s discuss a few here:

Image from greattennisphotos.blogspot.com

Can Andy Murray build on his Olympic Gold & finally win a Grand Slam? Short answer = yes. Long answer = it really depends on his draw. If he can make it through to the semifinals with some relative ease, I think he would have a chance of beating both Djokovic & Federer in back to back matches (the most likely scenario for anyone not named Novak or Roger). Murray proved at the Olympics that he can win on ALMOST the biggest stage, but not quite the biggest. Yet.

Is Roger Federer going to relapse a bit after recapturing the Wimbledon title & #1 ranking? I know it sounds like a bit of an odd question, but he is 31, has cemented himself (in many circles, anyway) as the greatest player ever, and between winning Wimbledon and Olympic silver, has had a pretty grueling summer. Basically, he has now proven EVERYTHING he needed to prove. Would it surprise anyone if he took a step back?

Are any of the younger top ranked females (Azarenka, Radwanska, Kvitova, etc) ready to take over Women’s tennis? Or is Serena Williams still too dominant? I guess I should probably throw Maria Sharapova in with Serena, but the top ranked American is on another planet right now. This question will be answered by one person only, and that is Ms. Williams. The bottom line is it really seems like none of the other women are good enough yet (and lots of it seems to be mental) to beat Serena IF she decides she wants to win. While that has been a question at times over the past few years, it hasn’t been one lately.

What does Nadal’s absence mean for the tournament? We won’t know until the draw comes out who it will affect more, but either Federer or Djokovic will end up extremely happy. One of them will have Murray in his half, and the other one will have the player I’ve named ‘Someone that is not Rafael Nadal.’

Is Del Potro ready to compete for a Grand Slam again? Yes. Oh, you want me to elaborate some? Ok…once he came back from injury it’s always looked like he had the physical skills to compete with the top men, but mentally he seemed a bit defeated. I sincerely believe the Bronze medal finish at the Olympics will give him the confidence he needs going forward.

Will Caroline Wozniacki FINALLY win a slam? Will she ever? I’m almost 100% certain she will not win the 2012 US Open. As for ‘ever,’ that answer is a little different. I know she is struggling, I know the history of former #1′s falling off the map recently to varying degrees, (Ivanovic, Safina, Jankovic), and I know her confidence is somewhat shot. But I also know that no one else in the top 10 seems to have staying power anyway, and ‘Caro’ is young enough at 22 where she still has time to climb her way back into the thick of things.

Finally, we know he is still one of the best players in the world, but what’s up with Novak? Personally, I think he is struggling mentally with the fact that he hasn’t been able to duplicate his 2011. I think it eats away at him at he is second fiddle to Federer, and to a certain extent even Murray. I think he needs something to get his mojo back…something like an epic night match in Arthur Ashe Stadium…with the slightly raucous NYC crowd cheering him on…

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2012 Olympics Recap

Even for Federer fans it was hard not to feel for Del Potro...

Enough happened over the last week+ of Olympic Tennis that I could spend the next week writing all about it. So I debated this morning whether I should touch on just two or three topics in this space in a more complete manner, or touch on a number of subjects. I chose to do the latter, because, well, it’s more fun that way!

- Serena Williams is as dominant now as she was in her prime. This is kind of hard to fathom, given the litany of off the court issues she has dealt with the last few years, but her ability to decimate the field when she is playing well has to lift her career up there with the all time greats. Perhaps this is a bit of an indictment on the top WTA Players in today’s game that she can still dominate, but just imagine the damage the 2002-2004 edition of Serena would be able to inflict today?

- While I am incredibly happy for Andy Murray, am I the only one out there who thinks his stunning defeat of Roger Federer for the Gold Medal (stunning in the manner, not necessarily the win) will only serve to increase pressure at future Grand Slams? By going through both Djokovic and Federer this weekend, Murray has proven he can beat the best on ALMOST the biggest stage, but when the US Open starts in a few weeks (or if has yet to win one before Wimbledon next year), the prevailing question will be – can he beat the best on THE biggest stage.

- There are five tennis events. Team USA won Gold in three of them (Men’s Doubles, Women’s Singles & Doubles), and Bronze in another (Mixed Doubles). I am not here to proclaim that tennis in the United States is as good as it was on the days when the likes of McEnroe, Sampras, Evert or Agassi patrolled the court; but at present, it is doing just fine. People love to point to our lack of power at the top of Men’s Tennis as a barometer all the time, and as I pointed out on facebook this morning, we are as well represented at Grand Slams as top European countries like France & Spain (USA has 10 players in the top 100, Spain 11, and France 9).

- As wonderful as Gold Medal moments are to watch, I found myself to be most emotional when Juan Martin Del Potro defeated Novak Djokovic for the Bronze Medal. While the big Argentine did not set out to finish in 3rd place, it still must have felt amazing to win after losing such an mentally & physically draining match against Roger Federer less than 48 hours beforehand. Since returning from major injury, Del Potro has been looking to regain the form that had him winning the 2009 US Open – I think he has served notice that he is once again a MAJOR threat.

- Novak Djokovic is struggling. I guess after such a dominant 2011 it is no surprise that Djokovic would come down a level. However, I don’t think anyone would argue that he has come down more than just one level. Bottom line is that the chances of him every dominating the sport like he did for the first nine months last year are almost nil, and I think if he accepts that he can work on getting a bit of his swagger back.

- Finally, let’s give a shout out to Team USA Doubles! Bob & Mike Bryan had accomplished pretty much everything a doubles team could accomplish – short of winning Olympic Gold. With their dominating performance at the Olympic Games they have now achieved a Golden Slam (all four Grand Slam Titles & Olympic Gold), and moreover showed they aren’t going away anytime soon. And regarding the Williams Sisters, does anyone else get the feeling that if the two of them had focused on just doubles like the Bryans, they could very well be undefeated?

- Overall it was a terrific showcase for tennis. While the pink/purple motif at the All England Lawn & Tennis Club was a bit tough to get used to, I thought the organizers did a tremendous job of blending the history of the grounds with the modern Olympic spin and turned it into an amazing event.

 

 

 

 

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Tennis Links: 2012 Olympic Edition

Federer has Olympic Gold, but not in Singles...yet.

Is anyone else excited to see how the tennis plays out at the Olympics this year, at Wimbledon, only it won’t look anything like Wimbledon? Ok, well maybe it still looks plenty like Wimbledon, only more…pink. Enjoy the following articles everyone!

Good round up of the past couple weeks in the tennis world for those that took a vacation after Wimbledon.

How to run a successful tournament even with the Olympics going on.

The story behind Bartoli, her father, and missing the Olympics.

Peter Bodo on Nadal’s withdrawal. And Howard Bryant on the challenges ahead.

ESPN Power Rankings.

Bruce Jenkins goes over Team USA Tennis. Even goes so far as to say Roddick could medal!

Latest Wertheim Mailbag. Always worth a read.

Terrific debate on tennis being part of the Olympics.

Finally, Johnny Mac, Agassi & Courier discuss the Olympics!

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Friday Links: Hall of Fame Edition

This weekend, down in Newport RI, Jennifer Capriati & Gustavo Kuerten will headline the group being inducted into the International Tennis Hall of Fame. In honor of these two amazing tennis players, we’ll lead off this week with a couple of their highlights!

Old School SI Cover!

There were few who expected a 16 year old to win the Gold Medal against Stefi Graf, but Capriati did just that at the 1992 Olympics!

Everyone’s favorite Guga moment!

Terrific Bonnie Ford piece on Serena and her Gold Medal goal.

The US Open raises early round prize money (just like Roland Garros & Wimbledon), on the advice of the Big 4. As if we needed more reasons to praise them.

Rick Reilly compares Federer & Tiger.

Jon Wertheim tackles Serena & other topics in his first post-Wimbledon mailbag.

CNN/SI report card for Wimbledon.

Some awesome Wimbledon photos from the past 40 years.

Interview with Milos Raonic – who has not quite broken through yet, but is certainly on the verge…

I want Peter Bodo to write my autobiography one day…here is his piece on a “career defining” win from Federer.

And finally, one more slideshow. This one of all Wimbledon 2012 from Tennis.com.

 

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